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Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.About 300 people have been killed in the attack on civilians by Haitian gangs. On December 12, local time, it was learned that the attack on civilians by Haitian gangs continued. As of December 11, the number of victims has reached nearly 300, and nearly 60 people have been kidnapped. (CCTV News)CICC: Depleting inventories to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. In terms of real estate, the meeting will "continue to push the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize" as the primary task of risk prevention. The research department of CICC believes that destocking to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. First, control the supply of new land; second, optimize the supply structure of existing land and commercial housing; it is expected that the supply optimization policies such as land ticket, land exchange and commercial housing reform will be further promoted; third, dispose of existing commercial housing; it is expected that the efforts to store unsold commercial housing and existing second-hand housing for affordable housing will be increased; fourth, intensify the implementation of the renovation of urban villages and dilapidated houses.

About 300 people have been killed in the attack on civilians by Haitian gangs. On December 12, local time, it was learned that the attack on civilians by Haitian gangs continued. As of December 11, the number of victims has reached nearly 300, and nearly 60 people have been kidnapped. (CCTV News)Institution: It is expected that the PC market in China will resume growth in the second half of 2025. IDC, an international data company, issued a document saying that the overall PC market in China is expected to improve in 2025, and the shipment volume will drop slightly by 0.2% compared with that in 2024. Among them, the first half of 2025 will be affected by the early release of demand at the end of 2024, and the expected shipment volume is still negative, down 4.2% year-on-year; In the second half of 2025, it will improve as a whole, with a year-on-year growth rate of 3.0%.Alipay sells cryptocurrency funds? Originally an indirect investment in a product of Huabao Fund, the subscription has been suspended. Recently, some netizens found that Huabao Fund promoted a fund product issued by Huabao Fund in Alipay-QDII-FOF-LOF C (hereinafter referred to as "Huabao Overseas Technology C"), promoting "riding the wind to encrypt the rising market of currency" and "the representative of subversive innovation technology: cryptocurrency". According to the report of Warburg Overseas Technology C in the third quarter of this year, among the top ten funds with the highest fair value at the end of the reporting period, five were only index funds managed by Ark Investment Management under Cathy Wood, the "Mujie", accounting for 73.12% of the total. The reporter logged on to several consignment platforms such as Ant Fortune, Licaitong, Tiantian Fund, China Merchants Bank, Snowball Fund and found that the product was sold on the above platforms, but from December 11th, the large subscription of Class A shares and Class C shares was suspended, and the daily limit for each person was 1000 yuan RMB. However, on December 13th, Huabao Overseas Science and Technology Stock Securities Investment Fund announced that it would suspend subscription and regular fixed investment business. (21 Finance)

Shenzhen recently released four overcharge standards. According to the news of "Shenzhen Release", yesterday, the reporter learned from the Shenzhen Municipal Market Supervision Administration that Shenzhen has made further progress in promoting the construction of electric vehicle charging facilities, and recently took the lead in releasing four overcharge standards. At present, Shenzhen has issued six leading local standards for overcharging, including the grading evaluation standard for decentralized charging facilities for electric vehicles, grading evaluation standard for centralized charging stations for electric vehicles, long-term failure judgment standard for charging equipment for electric vehicles and management standard for construction of charging facilities for electric vehicles in residential quarters. As of December 5, Shenzhen has guided the construction of 913 overcharging stations, added 121,000 charging facilities and upgraded 3,047 old piles. The official implementation of the four latest overcharge standards issued by Shenzhen indicates that Shenzhen has taken another solid step on the road of building an "overcharged city".Dividend assets are expected to become the main investment line next year, and the investment in dividend plate is heating up! Standard & Poor's dividend ETF(562060) rallied. On December 13th, by midday, the standard & poor's dividend ETF(562060) had dropped by 1.58%, with a turnover of 18,545,900 yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and in terms of rising, Sanqi Mutual Entertainment leads the rise; In terms of decline, Yongxing Materials led the decline. In the news, on December 12th, official website of China Securities Regulatory Commission published the latest personal pension investment list, and 85 index funds were included, including 7 bonus index funds. In addition, the recent performance of high dividend assets is strong, and the market's investment enthusiasm for the dividend sector continues to heat up. The industry believes that dividend assets are expected to become the main line of investment next year with the downward trend of interest rates and the improvement of dividend yield. In addition, considering that there are still many uncertainties in the current global environment, the defensive nature of dividend assets may still be a safe haven for capital seeking. Faced with the long-term trend that domestic risk-free interest rates will continue to decline, the scarcity and stability of dividend income are expected to help dividend assets continue to serve as an important direction for long-term funds to seek cost performance.Beijing officially launched the online game boutique publishing project. At the 2024 China Game Industry Annual Conference held today, Zhai Degang, deputy director of the Propaganda Department of Beijing Municipal Committee and director of Beijing Press and Publication Bureau, said that Beijing Press and Publication Bureau would organize the implementation of the online game boutique publishing project to guide and drive the high-quality development of Beijing's game industry. It is reported that the online game boutique publishing project will focus on five key directions: spreading positive mainstream values, carrying forward the spirit of Chinese culture, showing the style of the capital era, highlighting the vitality of scientific and technological innovation, and having the potential for international communication. Five supporting mechanisms including priority recommendation, whole-process incubation, copyright protection, platform service and talent guarantee mechanism will be implemented. The works selected for the project will be included in the Beijing online game key selection database, and priority will be given to the national-level promotion and selection projects, and incentives will be given.